bearish flow. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 34.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 3.46x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.80x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.9% — normal range
Effective IV 65.5% (ATM 30.9% + spread 17.3% + bias) — fair
Total drag 25.29% (spread 17.32% + slippage 7.97%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.40 (vega 7.628 / spread 17.32%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +84% (strong bullish) — Raw: +74%
|OI skew| 40.9% — put-heavy
Vol skew -81.6%, OI skew -40.9% — aligned
0-DTE 3%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +70%, ATM: +92%, OTM: -8% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 31% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 87% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 64% — urgent
Conviction +84 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.3% — wide
OI 2,125,880 — deep
Volume 58,282/day — active
$0.87 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 35% — tighter than sector
Depth 213.9 contracts (bid:154.9 ask:59.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.97% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.9% — contango
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink -4.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1059.39 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +84% @ 92% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 117 (ITM 20% + inst 87%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.