IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 71% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.54x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 58.1% — normal range
Effective IV 106.7% (ATM 58.1% + spread 24.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 33.78% (spread 24.31% + slippage 9.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.27 (vega 0.646 / spread 24.31%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +23% (bullish) — Raw: +18%
|OI skew| 9.1% — balanced
Vol skew +62.6%, OI skew +9.1% — aligned
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -12%, ATM: -5%, OTM: +46% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 29% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +57.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 57% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction +23 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 24.3% — wide
OI 460,338 — deep
Volume 39,523/day — active
$1.22 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 779.9000000000001 contracts (bid:532.6 ask:247.3) — deep
Avg slippage 9.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +53.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity
IV kink 13.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 37.55 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +23% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 87 (ITM 20% + inst 57%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.