IV is elevated with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.63x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.6% — normal range
Effective IV 103.9% (ATM 78.6% + spread 12.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.15% (spread 12.63% + slippage 5.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 32.15 (vega 40.609 / spread 12.63%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -61% (strong bearish) — Raw: -47%
|OI skew| 7.3% — balanced
Vol skew -50.1%, OI skew -7.3% — aligned
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +12%, ATM: -72%, OTM: -27% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 90% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +15.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 68% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction -61 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.6% — wide
OI 48,448 — adequate
Volume 2,399/day — adequate
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 52.8 contracts (bid:26.6 ask:26.2) — thin
Avg slippage 5.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.9% — contango
IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity
IV kink -3.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 749.24 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -61% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.