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WINGWingstop Inc

Options Analysis ReportRETAIL-EATING PLACES
Market Cap $3.0B|NASDAQ
2026-09-11$117.10
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y -56.0%YTD -54.4%7D +7.2%
912
30D
±8.6%
25%

WING Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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WING Gamma Walls

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WING Hedge Radar

Hedge window open
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads high; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where WING sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.65) — downside puts carry 3.3 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 28% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 24-trading-day realized moves (480 overlapping windows). Fragility reads fragile (7.5): it is trading 15% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.65/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
7.50/ 10fragile
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

4.8
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 85.7% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 90% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.97x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 67.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 105.1% (ATM 67.6% + spread 18.7% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 25.36% (spread 18.74% + slippage 6.62%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 11.92 (vega 22.346 / spread 18.74%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.6
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -36%, Raw: -6%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -36% (strong bearish) — Raw: -6%

≥15%

|OI skew| 5.4% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -13.6%, OI skew +5.4% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -46%, ATM: +29%, OTM: +2% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 68% — bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.5
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.6x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -0.5% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 48% — neutral vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 27% — mixed

≥60%

Aggressive execution 26% — patient

≥30

Conviction -36 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.7
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 18.7% — wide

≥10,000

OI 44,157 — adequate

≥500

Volume 912/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.94 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 27.0 contracts (bid:11.4 ask:15.6) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.62% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.6
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -2.5% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -3.3pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 265.39 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 57 (ITM 20% + inst 27%) — moderate institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.3
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts5.3
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.4
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.4
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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