IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.56x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 63% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 74.9% — normal range
Effective IV 106.3% (ATM 74.9% + spread 15.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 22.42% (spread 15.70% + slippage 6.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.79 (vega 23.227 / spread 15.70%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -28% (bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 14.5% — balanced
Vol skew -14.8%, OI skew +14.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -26%, ATM: -32%, OTM: -18% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 89% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.4x avg — hot
Vol/OI 13.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
3 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +17.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -28 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.7% — wide
OI 70,619 — deep
Volume 9,403/day — active
$0.79 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — wider than sector
Depth 235.20000000000002 contracts (bid:97.4 ask:137.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1433.78 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -28% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.