IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.99x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.36x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 141.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 156.9% (ATM 141.7% + spread 7.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 11.31% (spread 7.58% + slippage 3.73%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 25.58 (vega 19.392 / spread 7.58%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 3.9% — balanced
Vol skew +33.4%, OI skew -3.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 25%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: +18%, OTM: +10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 60% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 16.9% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +33.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.6% — wide
OI 293,098 — deep
Volume 49,511/day — active
$0.38 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 73.4 contracts (bid:38.1 ask:35.3) — thin
Avg slippage 3.73% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +35.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 29.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 368.66 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.