Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 42% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 51.3% — normal range
Effective IV 82.8% (ATM 51.3% + spread 15.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.13% (spread 15.76% + slippage 7.37%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.09 (vega 11.169 / spread 15.76%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -39% (strong bearish) — Raw: -31%
|OI skew| 0.2% — balanced
Vol skew +15.5%, OI skew -0.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 19%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -17%, ATM: +3%, OTM: -38% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 69% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mixed
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -39 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.8% — wide
OI 106,667 — deep
Volume 4,498/day — adequate
$0.79 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Depth 141.7 contracts (bid:72.0 ask:69.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.37% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 63% — neutral
IV kink 2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 58.78 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -39% @ 70% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.