IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.65x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 105.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 126.6% (ATM 105.0% + spread 10.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.02% (spread 10.80% + slippage 4.22%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.56 (vega 0.603 / spread 10.80%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +3% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 30.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +80.8%, OI skew +30.6% — aligned
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -56%, ATM: -14%, OTM: +10% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 23% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.0x avg — hot
Vol/OI 16.9% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +24.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 57% — patient
Conviction +3 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.8% — wide
OI 100,294 — deep
Volume 16,980/day — active
$0.54 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 91% — much wider than sector
Depth 183.5 contracts (bid:88.6 ask:94.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.22% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +64.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 49.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.95 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.