IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 93.4% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 104.2% (ATM 93.4% + spread 5.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 7.92% (spread 5.38% + slippage 2.54%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.60 (vega 1.936 / spread 5.38%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -20%
|OI skew| 34.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +68.3%, OI skew +34.8% — aligned
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: -13%, OTM: -24% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 13% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 67% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 62% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.4% — wide
OI 2,679,064 — deep
Volume 143,015/day — active
$0.27 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 824.2 contracts (bid:336.8 ask:487.4) — deep
Avg slippage 2.54% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 32.27 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 92 (ITM 20% + inst 62%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.