Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 67.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.39x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 51% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.1% — normal range
Effective IV 79.1% (ATM 40.1% + spread 19.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 30.62% (spread 19.52% + slippage 11.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.95 (vega 7.715 / spread 19.52%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -32% (strong bearish) — Raw: -36%
|OI skew| 46.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +50.8%, OI skew +46.9% — aligned
0-DTE 48%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -4%, ATM: +1%, OTM: -54% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 24% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 12% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction -32 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 19.5% — wide
OI 310,934 — deep
Volume 4,873/day — adequate
$0.98 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Depth 233.4 contracts (bid:125.5 ask:107.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 11.10% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.8% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 67% — neutral
IV kink 1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 81.21 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -32% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.