Options/XPEV
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XPEVXPeng Inc. American depositary shares, each representing two Class A ordinary shares

Options Analysis Report
Market Cap $9.9B|NYSE
2026-09-11$10.34
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y -49.8%YTD -49.4%7D -5.6%
46,859
30D
±14.4%
8%

XPEV Options Overview

IV is elevated with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.3VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Balanced conditions with no clear edge

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XPEV Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 70.2% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 68% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.89x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 48.6% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 65.8% (ATM 48.6% + spread 8.6% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 14.13% (spread 8.61% + slippage 5.52%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 1.16 (vega 0.998 / spread 8.61%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

3.1
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -38%, Raw: -35%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -38% (strong bearish) — Raw: -35%

≥15%

|OI skew| 52.6% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -56.5%, OI skew +52.6% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 3%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -41%, ATM: -18%, OTM: -17% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 86% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

5.6
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 1.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 8.0% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.5% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 83% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 63% — urgent

≥30

Conviction -38 (bearish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.9
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 8.6% — wide

≥10,000

OI 588,291 — deep

≥500

Volume 46,859/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.43 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

1 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 403.3 contracts (bid:204.3 ask:199.0) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.52% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -10.6% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -5.8pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 108.48 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -38% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 113 (ITM 20% + inst 83%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.0
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts7.0
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.3
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call5.7
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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