XPOXPO, Inc.
Options Analysis Report•TRANSPORTATION SERVICES
Market Cap $24.1B|NYSE
● 2026-05-15$205.55
BULLISH
Analysis: 2026-05-14 EOD data
1Y +63.6%YTD +48.1%7D +0.5%
Options Vol
239
30D
Implied Move
±8.6%
IV Rank
30%
XPO Options Overview
bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
6.0
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 50.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 0.95x — contango
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.00x — normal
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 0.0% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 26.5% (ATM 0.0% + spread 13.2% + bias) — excellent value
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 28.41% (spread 13.25% + slippage 15.16%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 13.25%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
6.6
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +28%, Raw: +37%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +28% (bullish) — Raw: +37%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 14.0% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +47.3%, OI skew -14.0% — divergent (opposite)
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +0%, ATM: +14%, OTM: +56% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
3.1
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks0/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.5x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 33% — below sector avg
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 57% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +28 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
3.5
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 13.2% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 19,942 — adequate
Active Volume
≥500Volume 239/day — thin
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.66 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 0% — much tighter than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 50.9 contracts (bid:30.7 ask:20.2) — thin
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 15.16% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
6.6
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope -5.4% — contango
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 50% — neutral
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink -1.1pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations3 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)safe window: No earnings detected
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +28% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.9
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts4.8
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.2
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call4.1
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.