IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 37% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 47.9% — normal range
Effective IV 64.9% (ATM 47.9% + spread 8.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 14.62% (spread 8.48% + slippage 6.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.69 (vega 1.437 / spread 8.48%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -18% (bearish) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 25.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +53.4%, OI skew +25.1% — aligned
0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -31%, ATM: -52%, OTM: +6% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 60% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 50% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction -18 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.5% — wide
OI 495,572 — deep
Volume 42,488/day — active
$0.42 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 39% — tighter than sector
Depth 271.1 contracts (bid:117.2 ask:153.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.7% — contango
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.62 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -18% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 80 (ITM 20% + inst 50%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.