
IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.87x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 128.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 142.2% (ATM 128.8% + spread 6.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 11.12% (spread 6.69% + slippage 4.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 86.78 (vega 58.056 / spread 6.69%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 3.2% — balanced
Vol skew +46.2%, OI skew +3.2% — aligned
0-DTE 62%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -12%, ATM: -1%, OTM: -4% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 14.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 91% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 12% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.7% — wide
OI 383,721 — deep
Volume 56,922/day — active
$0.33 to cross — cheap
16 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 124.6 contracts (bid:60.3 ask:64.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.8% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 853.77 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 42 (ITM 20% + inst 12%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.