
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.48x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 91% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.24x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 112.6% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 146.4% (ATM 112.6% + spread 16.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.16% (spread 16.88% + slippage 8.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.80 (vega 6.417 / spread 16.88%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: -0%
|OI skew| 29.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +29.6%, OI skew +29.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +53%, OTM: -11% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 7% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.9% — wide
OI 141,976 — deep
Volume 6,513/day — active
$0.84 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 48.1 contracts (bid:30.3 ask:17.8) — thin
Avg slippage 8.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +24.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 16.36 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 7d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 37 (ITM 20% + inst 7%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.