IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 72.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.01x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 38% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 43.0% — normal range
Effective IV 57.1% (ATM 43.0% + spread 7.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 11.42% (spread 7.04% + slippage 4.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 136.60 (vega 96.168 / spread 7.04%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +46% (strong bullish) — Raw: +34%
|OI skew| 28.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +13.4%, OI skew +28.0% — aligned
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +6%, ATM: +62%, OTM: +17% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 65% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +46 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.0% — wide
OI 150,704 — deep
Volume 7,674/day — active
$0.35 to cross — cheap
7 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 39% — tighter than sector
Depth 134.4 contracts (bid:72.8 ask:61.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.38% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.9% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 72% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2701.36 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +46% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.