
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.21x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 115.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 126.9% (ATM 115.8% + spread 5.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 9.56% (spread 5.57% + slippage 3.99%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 229.74 (vega 127.963 / spread 5.57%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 12.9% — balanced
Vol skew +33.4%, OI skew +12.9% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: -10%, OTM: +10% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 14.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.9% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.6% — wide
OI 268,880 — deep
Volume 39,083/day — active
$0.28 to cross — cheap
14 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 35.5 contracts (bid:18.0 ask:17.5) — thin
Avg slippage 3.99% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +21.2% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 19.4pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 872.87 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 7d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.