IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 83% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 74.8% — normal range
Effective IV 81.5% (ATM 74.8% + spread 3.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 5.74% (spread 3.33% + slippage 2.41%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 680.56 (vega 226.627 / spread 3.33%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 4.5% — balanced
Vol skew +17.6%, OI skew -4.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 59%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -22%, ATM: +7%, OTM: -4% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 39% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 10.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.3% — acceptable
OI 3,384,411 — deep
Volume 349,781/day — active
$0.17 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 141.10000000000002 contracts (bid:69.7 ask:71.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.41% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.0% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink -0.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1419.97 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.