
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.22x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 146.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 169.5% (ATM 146.8% + spread 11.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 17.32% (spread 11.34% + slippage 5.98%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.87 (vega 21.397 / spread 11.34%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +12% (bullish) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 0.3% — balanced
Vol skew +23.8%, OI skew -0.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -14%, ATM: -16%, OTM: +12% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -11.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +12 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.3% — wide
OI 258,251 — deep
Volume 16,062/day — active
$0.57 to cross — expensive
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 197.60000000000002 contracts (bid:135.4 ask:62.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.98% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +21.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 98% — seller opportunity
IV kink 29.7pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 223.12 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.