IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.94x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.18x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.8% — normal range
Effective IV 90.0% (ATM 61.8% + spread 14.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.52% (spread 14.08% + slippage 9.44%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.27 (vega 0.375 / spread 14.08%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -54% (strong bearish) — Raw: -28%
|OI skew| 14.0% — balanced
Vol skew +39.3%, OI skew +14.0% — aligned
0-DTE 29%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -66%, ATM: +45%, OTM: -20% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -54 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.1% — wide
OI 49,827 — adequate
Volume 1,127/day — adequate
$0.70 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 493.7 contracts (bid:308.7 ask:185.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 9.44% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +17.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink 10.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.64 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -54% @ 77% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.