Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 42.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.9% — normal range
Effective IV 43.8% (ATM 33.9% + spread 4.9% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 7.62% (spread 4.93% + slippage 2.69%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 109.73 (vega 54.099 / spread 4.93%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +9% (neutral) — Raw: +10%
|OI skew| 10.4% — balanced
Vol skew +29.8%, OI skew -10.4% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: +8%, OTM: +12% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 42% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 41% — patient
Conviction +9 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.9% — acceptable
OI 1,379,560 — deep
Volume 48,775/day — active
$0.25 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 231.7 contracts (bid:124.0 ask:107.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.69% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 43% — neutral
IV kink 0.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1878.42 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +9% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.