IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.74x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 77% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 64.2% — normal range
Effective IV 99.7% (ATM 64.2% + spread 17.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.77% (spread 17.75% + slippage 7.02%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 53.92 (vega 95.709 / spread 17.75%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +11% (bullish) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 16.8% — put-heavy
Vol skew +43.1%, OI skew -16.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +44%, ATM: -8%, OTM: -0% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 39% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 13% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 29% — patient
Conviction +11 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.8% — wide
OI 243,625 — deep
Volume 13,388/day — active
$0.89 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 86% — much wider than sector
Depth 113.80000000000001 contracts (bid:45.6 ask:68.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.02% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2155.61 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +11% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 43 (ITM 20% + inst 13%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.