IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 77% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 70.6% — normal range
Effective IV 135.1% (ATM 70.6% + spread 32.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 39.83% (spread 32.25% + slippage 7.58%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.37 (vega 1.187 / spread 32.25%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +82% (strong bullish) — Raw: +74%
|OI skew| 63.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +82.0%, OI skew +63.9% — aligned
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +20%, ATM: +35%, OTM: +80% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 33% — patient
Conviction +82 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 32.2% — wide
OI 106,751 — deep
Volume 1,778/day — adequate
$1.61 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 303.4 contracts (bid:162.5 ask:140.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.58% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 23.18 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +82% @ 91% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.