IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.22x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.3% — normal range
Effective IV 79.7% (ATM 60.3% + spread 9.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 14.05% (spread 9.72% + slippage 4.33%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.03 (vega 6.829 / spread 9.72%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +58% (strong bullish) — Raw: +46%
|OI skew| 12.6% — balanced
Vol skew -42.4%, OI skew -12.6% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -9%, ATM: +13%, OTM: +53% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 49% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +58 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.7% — wide
OI 389,518 — deep
Volume 17,664/day — active
$0.49 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 149.5 contracts (bid:98.9 ask:50.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.33% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +21.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 77% — seller opportunity
IV kink 12.9pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 32.02 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +58% @ 79% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 79 (ITM 20% + inst 49%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.