IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 70% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 83.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 107.2% (ATM 83.1% + spread 12.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.89% (spread 12.07% + slippage 6.82%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 73.81 (vega 89.091 / spread 12.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -29% (bearish) — Raw: -26%
|OI skew| 12.0% — balanced
Vol skew +24.2%, OI skew +12.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +22%, ATM: -11%, OTM: -30% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -29 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.1% — wide
OI 122,985 — deep
Volume 11,742/day — active
$0.60 to cross — expensive
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 59.0 contracts (bid:34.3 ask:24.7) — thin
Avg slippage 6.82% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 298.46 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -29% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.