Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 47.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.28x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 39% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.09x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 42.1% — normal range
Effective IV 102.8% (ATM 42.1% + spread 30.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 46.73% (spread 30.36% + slippage 16.37%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 16.69 (vega 50.664 / spread 30.36%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -62% (strong bearish) — Raw: -64%
|OI skew| 10.0% — balanced
Vol skew +0.0%, OI skew +10.0% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -100%, OTM: -50% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 4% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 60% — urgent
Conviction -62 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 30.4% — wide
OI 11,144 — adequate
Volume 12/day — thin
$1.52 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 63% — wider than sector
Depth 27.9 contracts (bid:16.4 ask:11.5) — thin
Avg slippage 16.37% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 48% — neutral
IV kink 3.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 857.27 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -62% @ 78% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.