CRCLCircle Internet Group, Inc.
Options Analysis Report•FINANCE SERVICES
Market Cap $19.3B|NYSE
● 2026-06-12$77.84
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-06-11 EOD data
1Y -48.5%YTD -6.7%7D -5.7%
Options Vol
56,572
30D
Implied Move
±24.6%
IV Rank
47%
CRCL Options Overview
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
3.6
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 89.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 94% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.02x — flat
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 87.9% — crisis-level IV
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 110.9% (ATM 87.9% + spread 11.5% + bias) — expensive
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 14.84% (spread 11.50% + slippage 3.34%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 3.96 (vega 4.554 / spread 11.50%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
6.3
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksNeutral - Strong signal (Conviction: +8%, Raw: +10%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +10%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 17.3% — call-heavy
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +19.5%, OI skew +17.3% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: +12%, ATM: +7%, OTM: +11% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 28% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
3.9
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks2/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.6x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 7.2% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change +8.7% (5d) — building
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 82% — very active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
4.4
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 11.5% — wide
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 789,704 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 56,572/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.58 to cross — expensive
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 95% — much wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 568.9000000000001 contracts (bid:271.8 ask:297.1) — deep
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 3.34% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
6.9
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +2.3% — flat/unclear
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 2.6pts — no clear event
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 15.81 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.2
bullishIV expensive, bullish flow
Long Puts4.2
bearishIV expensive, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put6.1
bullishIV rich premium, bullish flow
Covered Call5.1
bearishIV rich premium, bullish flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.