IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.04x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 90% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 64.3% — normal range
Effective IV 90.1% (ATM 64.3% + spread 12.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.58% (spread 12.91% + slippage 6.67%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.67 (vega 3.446 / spread 12.91%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +17% (bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 25.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +57.3%, OI skew +25.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: +41%, OTM: +9% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 11.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 93% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +17 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.9% — wide
OI 115,615 — deep
Volume 13,681/day — active
$0.65 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 137.7 contracts (bid:84.9 ask:52.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.67% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +10.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 29.38 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.