IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 52% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 68.8% — normal range
Effective IV 102.9% (ATM 68.8% + spread 17.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.53% (spread 17.05% + slippage 7.48%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 20.31 (vega 34.629 / spread 17.05%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -45% (strong bearish) — Raw: -34%
|OI skew| 60.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew -12.2%, OI skew +60.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +60%, ATM: -37%, OTM: -35% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 27% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction -45 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.1% — wide
OI 38,537 — adequate
Volume 417/day — thin
$0.85 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 33.3 contracts (bid:23.0 ask:10.3) — thin
Avg slippage 7.48% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 83% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 437.79 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -45% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.