Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.76x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 52% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 48.0% — normal range
Effective IV 76.2% (ATM 48.0% + spread 14.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 21.75% (spread 14.10% + slippage 7.65%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.58 (vega 60.038 / spread 14.10%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +44% (strong bullish) — Raw: +40%
|OI skew| 8.9% — balanced
Vol skew -14.3%, OI skew +8.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +40%, ATM: +2%, OTM: +52% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 81% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 61% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 32% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction +44 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.1% — wide
OI 30,089 — adequate
Volume 913/day — adequate
$0.70 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector
Depth 36.0 contracts (bid:19.3 ask:16.7) — thin
Avg slippage 7.65% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 64% — neutral
IV kink 3.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 798.38 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +44% @ 72% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 62 (ITM 20% + inst 32%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.