IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.19x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 94.9% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 117.3% (ATM 94.9% + spread 11.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.02% (spread 11.22% + slippage 3.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.35 (vega 0.393 / spread 11.22%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +33% (strong bullish) — Raw: +29%
|OI skew| 4.9% — balanced
Vol skew -5.8%, OI skew +4.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 56%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: +68%, OTM: +24% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 84% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 15% — patient
Conviction +33 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.2% — wide
OI 244,617 — deep
Volume 8,285/day — active
$0.56 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 631.3 contracts (bid:443.1 ask:188.2) — deep
Avg slippage 3.80% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +3.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 3.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.85 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +33% @ 66% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.