G

GDXVanEck Gold Miners ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $32.1B|ARCX
2026-08-28$103.69
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data
1Y +69.1%YTD +20.9%7D +0.8%
167,580
30D
±13.0%
11%

GDX Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.5VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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GDX Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

5.6
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 70.4% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 83% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.99x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 47.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 57.1% (ATM 47.2% + spread 4.9% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 7.18% (spread 4.94% + slippage 2.24%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 11.91 (vega 5.882 / spread 4.94%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

4.2
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -27%, Raw: -4%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -27% (bearish) — Raw: -4%

≥15%

|OI skew| 22.5% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -1.5%, OI skew -22.5% — weak (same direction)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 39%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -3%, ATM: -18%, OTM: +0% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

4.2
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.8x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 6.3% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -3.8% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 74% — active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 61% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 30% — patient

≥30

Conviction -27 (bearish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

6.4
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 4.9% — acceptable

≥10,000

OI 2,646,990 — deep

≥500

Volume 167,580/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.25 to cross — cheap

≥5 strikes

1 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 575.7 contracts (bid:325.4 ask:250.3) — deep

<1.0%

Avg slippage 2.24% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.2
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -0.9% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 70% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.1pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 32.11 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -27% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 91 (ITM 20% + inst 61%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls5.5
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts6.0
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.1
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call5.7
bearishIV fair, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.