Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 67.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.14x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 55% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.6% — normal range
Effective IV 56.5% (ATM 40.6% + spread 8.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 13.33% (spread 7.95% + slippage 5.38%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 31.12 (vega 24.739 / spread 7.95%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 13.5% — balanced
Vol skew -4.1%, OI skew +13.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 32%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: -10%, OTM: +9% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 66% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 22% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 20% — mixed
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.0% — wide
OI 362,867 — deep
Volume 8,729/day — active
$0.40 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 56% — neutral vs sector
Depth 196.9 contracts (bid:93.5 ask:103.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.38% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.8% — contango
IV percentile 68% — neutral
IV kink -7.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1150.64 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 50 (ITM 20% + inst 20%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.