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HCCWarrior Met Coal, Inc.

Options Analysis Report•BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE MINING
Market Cap $5.7B|NYSE
● 2026-08-28$108.26
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-27 EOD data
1Y +84.0%YTD +20.9%7D +1.4%
2,418
30D
±12.5%
7%

HCC Options Overview

IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

Learn
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HCC Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

6.2
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 71.3% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 72% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.87x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 47.8% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 79.3% (ATM 47.8% + spread 15.8% + bias) — fair

<3.0%

Total drag 19.94% (spread 15.75% + slippage 4.19%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 16.87 (vega 26.575 / spread 15.75%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.2
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -97%, Raw: -94%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -97% (strong bearish) — Raw: -94%

≥15%

|OI skew| 30.6% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +98.1%, OI skew -30.6% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -33%, ATM: -100%, OTM: +29% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.9
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 6.2x avg — hot

≥15%

Vol/OI 16.6% — high turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -2.7% (5d) — unwinding

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 96% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 94% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 18% — patient

≥30

Conviction -97 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.9
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 15.8% — wide

≥10,000

OI 14,561 — adequate

≥500

Volume 2,418/day — adequate

≤$0.50

$0.79 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 72.7 contracts (bid:46.0 ask:26.7) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 4.19% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

7.7
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -13.2% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -4.2pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 512.05 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

3 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No earnings detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -97% @ 99% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 124 (ITM 20% + inst 94%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls4.5
bullishIV cheap, bearish flow
Long Puts6.5
bearishIV cheap, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put3.6
bullishIV too cheap, bearish flow
Covered Call5.6
bearishIV too cheap, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.