IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.33x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 93.0% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 118.5% (ATM 93.0% + spread 12.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.71% (spread 12.77% + slippage 3.94%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.13 (vega 7.823 / spread 12.77%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +13% (bullish) — Raw: +14%
|OI skew| 26.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +54.3%, OI skew +26.8% — aligned
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +26%, ATM: +7%, OTM: +16% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 43% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 21% — mixed
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction +13 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.8% — wide
OI 1,084,303 — deep
Volume 76,776/day — active
$0.64 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 412.9 contracts (bid:214.9 ask:198.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.94% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.0% — contango
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -8.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 399.15 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +13% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 51 (ITM 20% + inst 21%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.