IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 88.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.65x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 71% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 77.2% — normal range
Effective IV 98.1% (ATM 77.2% + spread 10.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.01% (spread 10.47% + slippage 4.54%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.41 (vega 3.571 / spread 10.47%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -6% (neutral) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 22.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +42.3%, OI skew +22.3% — aligned
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +5%, ATM: -3%, OTM: -8% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 48% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 15.4% — high turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.1% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction -6 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.5% — wide
OI 928,801 — deep
Volume 143,180/day — active
$0.52 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 407.4 contracts (bid:201.4 ask:206.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.54% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -3.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 72.87 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.