IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 93.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.13x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 80% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.81x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 109.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 173.6% (ATM 109.3% + spread 32.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 53.60% (spread 32.17% + slippage 21.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.66 (vega 8.556 / spread 32.17%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +98% (strong bullish) — Raw: +98%
|OI skew| 70.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +29.7%, OI skew +70.7% — aligned
0-DTE 95%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +60%, ATM: +100%, OTM: +99% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 10.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 51% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 82% — highly urgent
Conviction +98 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 32.2% — wide
OI 39,404 — adequate
Volume 4,279/day — adequate
$1.61 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 81.1 contracts (bid:36.0 ask:45.1) — thin
Avg slippage 21.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.1% — contango
IV percentile 94% — seller opportunity
IV kink -17.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 450.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +98% @ 99% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 81 (ITM 20% + inst 51%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.