IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 95.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.95x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 97% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 109.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 120.5% (ATM 109.8% + spread 5.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 7.51% (spread 5.36% + slippage 2.15%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 31.13 (vega 16.683 / spread 5.36%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 10.0% — balanced
Vol skew +28.9%, OI skew +10.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: +12%, OTM: -0% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 22% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 10.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 24% — mixed
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.4% — wide
OI 2,348,372 — deep
Volume 254,422/day — active
$0.27 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 487.20000000000005 contracts (bid:286.6 ask:200.6) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.15% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 95% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.0pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 382.64 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 54 (ITM 20% + inst 24%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.