JEFJefferies Financial Group Inc.
JEF Options Overview
bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
JEF Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 60.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.77x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.84x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 38.2% — normal range
Effective IV 80.3% (ATM 38.2% + spread 21.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 27.08% (spread 21.03% + slippage 6.05%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.46 (vega 11.474 / spread 21.03%) — acceptable
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +58% (strong bullish) — Raw: +48%
|OI skew| 47.8% — put-heavy
Vol skew -26.7%, OI skew -47.8% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -33%, OTM: +23% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 92% — very bearish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 14% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction +58 (bullish) — strong conviction
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.0% — wide
OI 47,591 — adequate
Volume 180/day — thin
$1.05 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 124.0 contracts (bid:60.7 ask:63.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.05% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -16.1% — contango
IV percentile 61% — neutral
IV kink -6.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 526.34 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +58% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.