bearish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 52.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.46x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.79x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.2% — normal range
Effective IV 148.1% (ATM 44.2% + spread 52.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 75.69% (spread 51.95% + slippage 23.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 28.45 (vega 147.802 / spread 51.95%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 44.8% — put-heavy
Vol skew -36.4%, OI skew -44.8% — aligned
0-DTE 86%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: +27%, OTM: +0% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 85% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 38% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 23% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 52.0% — wide
OI 3,978 — thin
Volume 44/day — thin
$2.60 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector
Depth 18.3 contracts (bid:7.8 ask:10.5) — thin
Avg slippage 23.74% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -21.0% — contango
IV percentile 52% — neutral
IV kink -5.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1127.40 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.