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MLTXMoonLake Immunotherapeutics Class A Ordinary Shares

Options Analysis ReportPHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
Market Cap $1.3B|NASDAQ
2026-08-31$14.99
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-08-28 EOD data
1Y -74.4%YTD +25.4%7D -2.5%
273
30D
±17.5%
3%

MLTX Options Overview

IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

4.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for premium sellers

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MLTX Gamma Walls

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Value

Is IV priced right?

4.0
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks3/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 91.5% — elevated vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.60x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 77% — above sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.76x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 76.2% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 167.2% (ATM 76.2% + spread 45.5% + bias) — expensive

<3.0%

Total drag 52.20% (spread 45.49% + slippage 6.71%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 0.48 (vega 2.168 / spread 45.49%) — spread drag

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

2.5
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bearish - Strong signal (Conviction: -80%, Raw: -62%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: -80% (strong bearish) — Raw: -62%

≥15%

|OI skew| 77.8% — call-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -9.9%, OI skew +77.8% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -100%, ATM: -94%, OTM: -4% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

3.7
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks3/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.2x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +10.2% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 40% — below sector avg

≥30%

Large trade volume 48% — institutional presence

≥60%

Aggressive execution 20% — patient

≥30

Conviction -80 (bearish) — strong conviction

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

2.8
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks1/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 45.5% — wide

≥10,000

OI 25,836 — adequate

≥500

Volume 273/day — thin

≤$0.50

$2.27 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 82.4 contracts (bid:38.6 ask:43.8) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 6.71% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

8.0
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks8/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -24.3% — contango

<30 or >70

IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -12.4pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 134.69 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

safe window: No events detected

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow -80% @ 90% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)

≥40 composite score

Score 78 (ITM 20% + inst 48%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls3.9
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Long Puts5.6
bearishIV fair, bearish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.4
bullishIV fair, bearish flow
Covered Call6.1
bearishIV fair, bearish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Aug 31, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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