IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.50x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 78.8% — normal range
Effective IV 98.0% (ATM 78.8% + spread 9.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.02% (spread 9.59% + slippage 6.43%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 83.06 (vega 79.654 / spread 9.59%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -10% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 36.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +87.5%, OI skew +36.5% — aligned
0-DTE 55%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -13%, ATM: -6%, OTM: -4% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 10% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.3x avg — hot
Vol/OI 12.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 3% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 25% — patient
Conviction -10 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.6% — wide
OI 31,501 — adequate
Volume 3,812/day — adequate
$0.48 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 27.0 contracts (bid:18.4 ask:8.6) — thin
Avg slippage 6.43% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 452.84 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 33 (ITM 20% + inst 3%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.