IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 87.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 81.9% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 92.9% (ATM 81.9% + spread 5.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 9.68% (spread 5.50% + slippage 4.18%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 55.43 (vega 30.487 / spread 5.50%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -10% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 2.6% — balanced
Vol skew +20.0%, OI skew +2.6% — aligned
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -30%, ATM: +8%, OTM: -2% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 63% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 13.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 91% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 35% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 45% — patient
Conviction -10 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.5% — wide
OI 3,090,484 — deep
Volume 401,512/day — active
$0.28 to cross — cheap
3 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — much wider than sector
Depth 259.1 contracts (bid:130.9 ask:128.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.18% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -1.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 372.70 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -10% @ 55% consistency — unclear
Score 65 (ITM 20% + inst 35%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.