IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 81.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.35x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 71.4% — normal range
Effective IV 82.5% (ATM 71.4% + spread 5.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 8.90% (spread 5.54% + slippage 3.36%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 127.45 (vega 70.608 / spread 5.54%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +5% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 9.1% — balanced
Vol skew +45.3%, OI skew +9.1% — aligned
0-DTE 54%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +1%, ATM: +13%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.5x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 23.3% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +14.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 50% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction +5 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.5% — wide
OI 2,798,365 — deep
Volume 651,501/day — active
$0.28 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — much wider than sector
Depth 309.3 contracts (bid:159.4 ask:149.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.36% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.8% — contango
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1760.80 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 80 (ITM 20% + inst 50%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.