IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.25x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 75% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 62.4% — normal range
Effective IV 75.3% (ATM 62.4% + spread 6.5% + bias) — fair
Total drag 11.80% (spread 6.45% + slippage 5.35%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 69.38 (vega 44.747 / spread 6.45%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +60% (strong bullish) — Raw: +57%
|OI skew| 24.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +73.0%, OI skew +24.1% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +60%, ATM: +49%, OTM: +63% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 19% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +60 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.5% — wide
OI 29,280 — adequate
Volume 897/day — adequate
$0.32 to cross — cheap
7 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 84% — much wider than sector
Depth 23.1 contracts (bid:10.8 ask:12.3) — thin
Avg slippage 5.35% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.7% — backwardation
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 119.71 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +60% @ 80% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.