IV is elevated with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 78.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.55x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 78% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 62.4% — normal range
Effective IV 84.7% (ATM 62.4% + spread 11.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.42% (spread 11.17% + slippage 5.25%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 41.81 (vega 46.705 / spread 11.17%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +12% (bullish) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 23.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -53.5%, OI skew +23.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -50%, ATM: +93%, OTM: -43% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 8.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +12.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction +12 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.2% — wide
OI 28,637 — adequate
Volume 2,341/day — adequate
$0.56 to cross — expensive
4 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 86% — much wider than sector
Depth 25.700000000000003 contracts (bid:11.8 ask:13.9) — thin
Avg slippage 5.25% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 79% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 127.61 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +12% @ 56% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.