IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.87x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 98% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 101.3% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 107.6% (ATM 101.3% + spread 3.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 6.44% (spread 3.16% + slippage 3.28%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1407.33 (vega 444.716 / spread 3.16%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +3%
|OI skew| 13.9% — balanced
Vol skew +8.7%, OI skew -13.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 59%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +10%, ATM: +9%, OTM: -0% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 19.7% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.2% — acceptable
OI 4,030,201 — deep
Volume 795,358/day — active
$0.16 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 99.3 contracts (bid:53.4 ask:45.9) — thin
Avg slippage 3.28% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +12.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 100% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1500.90 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.