Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 55.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.79x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 43% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.81x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 37.0% — normal range
Effective IV 47.1% (ATM 37.0% + spread 5.0% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 7.10% (spread 5.05% + slippage 2.05%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 23.23 (vega 11.729 / spread 5.05%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 10.7% — balanced
Vol skew +17.5%, OI skew +10.7% — aligned
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: -2%, OTM: -6% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 69% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 54% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.0% — wide
OI 5,999,224 — deep
Volume 357,362/day — active
$0.25 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Depth 377.70000000000005 contracts (bid:166.3 ask:211.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.05% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -18.9% — contango
IV percentile 55% — neutral
IV kink -5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 230.43 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.