IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 84.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.88x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.89x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 51.3% — normal range
Effective IV 57.4% (ATM 51.3% + spread 3.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 4.43% (spread 3.06% + slippage 1.37%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 175.24 (vega 53.624 / spread 3.06%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 3.9% — balanced
Vol skew +46.9%, OI skew +3.9% — aligned
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +20%, ATM: -18%, OTM: +7% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 38% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.0x avg — hot
Vol/OI 21.2% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 48% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 60% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.1% — acceptable
OI 6,241,250 — deep
Volume 1,323,524/day — active
$0.15 to cross — cheap
20 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 71% — wider than sector
Depth 384.2 contracts (bid:181.1 ask:203.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.37% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +88.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity
IV kink 28.0pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 2681.19 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 78 (ITM 20% + inst 48%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.