unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 58.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.23x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 15% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.58x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 49.0% — normal range
Effective IV 54.2% (ATM 49.0% + spread 2.6% + bias) — good value
Total drag 4.54% (spread 2.59% + slippage 1.95%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.00 (vega 0.000 / spread 2.59%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -5%
|OI skew| 10.0% — balanced
Vol skew +24.7%, OI skew +10.0% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -6%, ATM: -4%, OTM: -6% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 36.4% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.3% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 60% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.6% — acceptable
OI 13,244,232 — deep
Volume 4,819,819/day — active
$0.13 to cross — cheap
22 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 17% — much tighter than sector
Depth 499.1 contracts (bid:233.1 ask:266.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.95% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +58.1% — backwardation
IV percentile 59% — neutral
IV kink 23.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 1.00 — favors mixed
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 29d (low risk); FOMC in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.