IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.79x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 48% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.6% — normal range
Effective IV 93.3% (ATM 65.6% + spread 13.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 21.16% (spread 13.86% + slippage 7.30%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 47.54 (vega 65.894 / spread 13.86%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 39.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +31.4%, OI skew +39.5% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +100%, ATM: -9%, OTM: -13% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 62% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.9% — wide
OI 5,469 — thin
Volume 137/day — thin
$0.69 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 70% — wider than sector
Depth 13.100000000000001 contracts (bid:7.2 ask:5.9) — thin
Avg slippage 7.30% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.5% — backwardation
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 118.60 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -17% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.