IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.78x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 49% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.05x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 67.2% — normal range
Effective IV 76.6% (ATM 67.2% + spread 4.7% + bias) — fair
Total drag 11.10% (spread 4.68% + slippage 6.42%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 146.72 (vega 68.665 / spread 4.68%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +50% (strong bullish) — Raw: +36%
|OI skew| 38.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +6.9%, OI skew +38.2% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +35%, ATM: +76%, OTM: +10% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 72% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction +50 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.7% — acceptable
OI 5,649 — thin
Volume 174/day — thin
$0.23 to cross — cheap
9 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 69% — wider than sector
Depth 10.3 contracts (bid:4.9 ask:5.4) — thin
Avg slippage 6.42% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 105.14 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +50% @ 75% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.