IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.34x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 72% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.4% — normal range
Effective IV 80.4% (ATM 60.4% + spread 10.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.63% (spread 9.98% + slippage 6.65%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 42.64 (vega 42.556 / spread 9.98%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -45% (strong bearish) — Raw: -31%
|OI skew| 50.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew -11.4%, OI skew +50.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -12%, ATM: -78%, OTM: +32% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 78% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 35% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction -45 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.0% — wide
OI 55,393 — deep
Volume 526/day — adequate
$0.50 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 83% — much wider than sector
Depth 75.7 contracts (bid:54.7 ask:21.0) — thin
Avg slippage 6.65% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink 4.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 495.41 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -45% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.