
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.97x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 96% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.12x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 97.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 112.3% (ATM 97.7% + spread 7.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.42% (spread 7.30% + slippage 3.12%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.37 (vega 2.458 / spread 7.30%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -6%
|OI skew| 20.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +33.0%, OI skew +20.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -33%, ATM: -17%, OTM: -1% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 30% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.0% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 14% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.3% — wide
OI 687,561 — deep
Volume 52,654/day — active
$0.36 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 246.8 contracts (bid:121.1 ask:125.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.12% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +11.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 93% — seller opportunity
IV kink 10.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 7.40 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 44 (ITM 20% + inst 14%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.