bearish flow with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 65.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.26x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 57% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 48.4% — normal range
Effective IV 81.5% (ATM 48.4% + spread 16.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.16% (spread 16.54% + slippage 7.62%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.93 (vega 1.533 / spread 16.54%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +24% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 2.7% — balanced
Vol skew -78.6%, OI skew +2.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +56%, ATM: +28%, OTM: -6% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 96% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.4x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 89% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +24 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.5% — wide
OI 314,091 — deep
Volume 23,649/day — active
$0.83 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 76% — wider than sector
Depth 284.29999999999995 contracts (bid:158.2 ask:126.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 7.62% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink 4.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 14.38 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; CPI in 1d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +24% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 119 (ITM 20% + inst 89%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.