IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.73x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 60.8% — normal range
Effective IV 71.2% (ATM 60.8% + spread 5.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 9.00% (spread 5.20% + slippage 3.80%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 91.80 (vega 47.735 / spread 5.20%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: -5%
|OI skew| 6.2% — balanced
Vol skew +18.4%, OI skew +6.2% — aligned
0-DTE 47%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +4%, ATM: -0%, OTM: -7% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.3x avg — hot
Vol/OI 31.0% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +16.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 97% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 27% — mixed
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.2% — wide
OI 2,821,487 — deep
Volume 873,763/day — active
$0.26 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 67% — wider than sector
Depth 209.9 contracts (bid:106.4 ask:103.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.80% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink 6.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 510.53 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 57 (ITM 20% + inst 27%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.